Congress’ rejection of a $700 billion bailout of Wall Street financial firms on Monday and the resulting financial tsunami likely, will have a ripple effect on business here in the mountains, according to local experts.
Already, the worsening credit crunch is making it tough for some businesses to make payroll and other day-to-day operating expenses and slowing new construction to a trickle. “If we don’t have a rescue package, it could result in a liquidity freeze and a crisis to rival 1929,” when the markets crashed and the country entered the Depression, said Bruce Fleet, a Frisco town council member and former Wall Street broker.
“Our financial markets are absolutely hemorrhaging. This could have a crippling effect on the economy,” he said.
Impacts vary, depending on how businesses operate, Fleet said. Those that use a revolving line of credit to manage cash flow could feel the pain quickly. Some businesses use such short-term credit to meet day-to-day operating expenses, covering the cost of purchasing inventory and even payroll.
“Some could have their credit lines cut off. … It could put some of them out of business,” Fleet said.
Katie Roberts, executive director of the Summit Independent Business Alliance, said the resort areas are not completely insulated from the financial storm. “People all around us are running into trouble getting lines of credit,” she said.
Varied impacts
Local impacts from the national financial woes won’t be uniform.
The Credit Union of the Rockies, for example, is not seeing any issues so far, said marketing and businessdevelopment director Juan Evans.
“We’re seeing an influx of people running from banks to credit unions,” Evans said.
Similarly, one of the area’s largest car dealers is finding opportunity in the current challenges.
“Our lenders have assured us that we can secure all the funding we need,” said Robert Farnett, general manager of Vista Auto Group in Silverthorne. “I think consumer confidence has been shaken, but there is plenty of money to borrow.” Farnett added that hefty rebates make it a good time for consumers to buy, if they can afford it.
Area home builders already have taken a hit, said Dave Koons, president of the Summit County Builders Association.
Koons estimated that housing starts locally are down about 30 percent for the year, although he said he’s been busy with remodeling projects, helping to compensate for the drop in new construction.
“In my personal business, I didn’t start a single new home in 2008,” he said. The drop is consistent with a trend found in other election years, but has been exacerbated by the national economy, he added.
“The absence of liquidity hits everybody,” he said.
Hardest hit may be the speculative segment of the building market. As so-called “no-doc” loans popular among builders have disappeared, it’s become almost impossible for speculative builders to find financing, he explained, expressing concerns about a “downward spiral.”
Real-estate repercussions
On the other hand, Koons said the Summit County market is unique, and there are still people out there willing to invest their cash in the attractive resort real-estate market.
“An economic downturn will be truly unfortunate for certain neighborhoods in and along the Front Range,” said Frisco real-estate broker Dennis Flanagan in an e-mail.
Sales volumes likely will decrease in Summit County, he said, but some of the decline could be offset by international investment.
“Congress’ inability to issue much-needed liquidity to Wall Street today is unfortunate,” Flanagan wrote. “Legislative indecisiveness will continue to destroy U.S. companies’ equity in all sectors of the market.”
Even the big players on the Summit County development scene could be affected.
Alex Iskenderian, vice president of development for Vail Resorts, on Monday, denied that the company’s One River Run project, near the new Keystone gondola, is on hold after a Keystone real-estate broker circulated an e-mail to that effect.
Iskenderian said Vail Resorts is keeping a close eye on market conditions, but that no final decision on the timing for the project has been made.
